Bitaxe Supra 401 on Bitcoin — Mining Profit, Solo Odds & Cost of Production

598.44 GH/s · SHA-256 · network 1089.78 EH/s. A Bitaxe Supra 401 solo mining Bitcoin (BTC) has about a 1-in-32,588 chance per year, i.e. an expected block roughly every 32,588 yr for the full 3.1400 BTC (≈ 259,574 USD) reward.

Bitaxe Supra 401 on Bitcoin — Mining Truth Benchmark & Specifications

Consolidated PoW oracle metrics for operating a Bitaxe Supra 401 on Bitcoin (BTC) at live network difficulty and benchmark industrial electricity (0.069 USD/kWh):

Can you solo mine Bitcoin with a Bitaxe Supra 401?

Yes — a Bitaxe Supra 401 (598.44 GH/s) can solo mine Bitcoin (BTC) via a solo pool. At Bitcoin's 1089.78 EH/s SHA-256 network that is about a 1-in-32,588 chance per year — expected one block roughly every 32,588 yr, for the full 3.1400 BTC (≈ 259,574 USD) block. BackPoW computes this from live network difficulty using a Poisson block-discovery model. Realistically this is a hobby/lottery play rather than an income strategy.

Hardware Tier & Ecosystem Ranking on Bitcoin

The Bitaxe Supra 401 is categorized in the Home / Solo Lottery Tier (Compact or low-power hardware optimized for decentralized solo lottery participation rather than commercial pool revenue.). Among all 35 tracked models on Bitcoin, it ranks #32 in electrical efficiency (42,745,714,285.71 H/W) and #33 in raw hashrate (598.44 GH/s).

Electricity Operating Costs & Breakeven

Running a Bitaxe Supra 401 (14 W) pulls about 0.34 kWh per day (10.2 kWh per month). At the standard rate of 0.069 USD/kWh, electricity costs roughly 0.02 USD per day (0.71 USD/month or 8 USD/year). Statistically the reward you can expect across that year is about $7.97 — you would burn roughly 1x more in electricity than that reward is worth. That is an expected value averaged over far more time than the hardware will last, not income to plan around: the overwhelmingly likely outcome in any given year is no block at all.

The operational breakeven threshold is 0.065 USD/kWh. Expected net operating margin at benchmark tariffs:

• At 0.040 USD/kWh (Hydro / Renewable): +0.01 USD / day
• At 0.069 USD/kWh (Standard Industrial): -0.00 USD / day
• At 0.120 USD/kWh (Residential Grid): -0.02 USD / day

Break-even Coin Price Target: For this hardware to break even on electricity, Bitcoin must trade at or above 87,883.23 USD at standard industrial power (0.069 USD/kWh), or 152,840.40 USD at residential power (0.120 USD/kWh).

Bankroll & Variance Risk Simulator

Solo mining block discovery follows a memoryless Poisson distribution. While the average wait is 32,588 yr, real-world dispersion ranges across 5% and 50% quantiles:

• Lucky streak (5% Odds): Block within ~1,672 yr (1-in-20 fastest discovery, power cost: ~14,155 USD)
• Median expectation (50% Odds): Block within ~22,588 yr (Nominal median, power cost: ~191,276 USD)
• Bad luck streak (5% Odds): Can stretch up to ~97,625 yr (1-in-20 extended dry spell, power cost: ~826,682 USD)

High Variance Alert: In a 1-in-20 severe drought (~97,625 yr), cumulative electricity burned (~826,682 USD) will exceed the block reward value (259,574 USD). Pool mining is recommended for risk-averse operators.

How other hardware compares on Bitcoin

Devices in the same hashrate class, solo mining Bitcoin at today's difficulty:

How the odds have moved

Bitcoin's network hashrate climbed 3% since 2026-09-22, from 1052.97 EH/s to 1089.78 EH/s — so the same rig is now 3% less likely to find a block.

Where to point a Bitaxe Supra 401 at Bitcoin

Solo mining still runs through a solo pool: it handles the block template and pays the full reward to whoever finds the block. BackPoW tracks 81 solo pools for Bitcoin with their stratum endpoints, fees, and pool hashrates — see Bitcoin solo mining pools:

• web.public-pool.io (Fee: 0% · Hashrate: 56.94 PH/s)
• pool.solomining.de (Fee: 0% · Hashrate: 8.46 PH/s)
• solo.mineshop.eu (Fee: 0% · Hashrate: 3.83 PH/s)

How the odds are calculated

Solo mining is memoryless: every hash is an independent lottery ticket, so the wait for a block follows an exponential distribution rather than a fixed schedule. On average a block takes T = network_hashrate ÷ your_hashrate × block_time, and the probability of finding at least one within a window t is P = 1 − e^(−t/T). BackPoW uses this Poisson relation instead of a naive linear estimate. For this pair: daily chance 8.4e-06%, yearly chance 0.0031%.

Frequently Asked Questions: Bitaxe Supra 401 on Bitcoin

Can you solo mine Bitcoin with a Bitaxe Supra 401?

Yes — a Bitaxe Supra 401 (598.44 GH/s) can solo mine Bitcoin (BTC) via a solo pool. At Bitcoin's 1089.78 EH/s SHA-256 network that is about a 1-in-32,588 chance per year — expected one block roughly every 32,588 yr, for the full 3.1400 BTC (≈ 259,574 USD) block. BackPoW computes this from live network difficulty using a Poisson block-discovery model.

Is SHA-256 ASIC-resistant, and where does the Bitaxe Supra 401 stand?

SHA-256 is an ASIC-dominated algorithm. The Bitaxe Supra 401 delivers 598.44 GH/s (#33 of 35 models on Bitcoin). It belongs to the Home / Solo Lottery Tier, built for compact, decentralized solo attempts rather than commercial pool income.

What is the operating power cost and breakeven electricity rate for a Bitaxe Supra 401 on Bitcoin?

At 14 W, operating a Bitaxe Supra 401 consumes 0.34 kWh/day (10.2 kWh/month). At standard electricity (0.069 USD/kWh), the power bill is 0.02 USD/day (0.71 USD/month). The operational breakeven threshold is 0.065 USD/kWh.

What happens if my Bitaxe Supra 401 encounters a severe dry spell on Bitcoin?

Block discovery is an independent Poisson process with no memory. In a 1-in-20 bad luck drought (5% worst luck), finding a block can stretch up to 97,625 yr, accumulating roughly 826,682 USD in power costs.